Due to the losses of the Russian Federation, the Putin regime is becoming less scary for the population.
If Russians were to protest against the war now, they would be faced with a less powerful repressive machine than before.
This opinion was expressed by Bellingcat investigator Hristo Grozev in an interview with the Voice of America.
In his opinion, Russian society is now not as monolithic as many believe.
“And there are many processes that can lead to the end of this regime. I believe that trying to understand the processes in society, including anti-war sentiment, is key. A society that is generally afraid of power because of a repressive regime loses this fear when it sees that power is not as strong as it seems. Suddenly, the Putin regime, which is losing kilometers of front lines, becomes less scary for its own population,” he said.
Grozev noted that the accumulation of losses in the Russian army leads to increased internal pressure in the country and an increase in the desire of people to express their opinion – anti-war or pro-war.
“But in any case, this is pressure on Putin. If people took to the streets today in Russia to protest against the war, they would meet a much less capable repressive machine, since most of this repressive machine is on the front lines in Ukraine,” the investigator noted.
The announcement of mobilization in Russia and the reaction of society to it
As UNIAN reported earlier, 21st Russian President Putin announced the start of partial mobilization in the country.
The Ministry of Defense of the Russian Federation stated that they lost 5937 people in the war in Ukraine. However, 300,000 Russians are planning to be drafted into the army.
The day before, the State Duma introduced into the Criminal Code the concepts of “mobilization”, “martial law” and “wartime”, as well as punishments for voluntary surrender and looting.
After Putin’s speech, protests began in many Russian cities. According to Russian media, they detained about 1320 people from 39 cities.
According to the law “On mobilization training and mobilization in the Russian Federation”, Russians liable for military service are prohibited from leaving their place of residence without the permission of the commissariats.
Russian human rights activist Pavel Chikov said that the new decree of the Russian dictator would allow to mobilize an unlimited number of conscripts.