Brazil works on the basis of some concepts. One of them is the “it is not possible”, which is quickly taken up in a conversation to say that something cannot or should not happen. The phenomenon, together with the use of the expression “certainly”, is part of the national daily life. The “not possible” indicates that what someone is hypothesizing will not happen. Or it can’t happen. Indicates the certainty of an impossibility. But, above all, a desire for the impossibility to come true.
In politics, “it is not possible” is commonly used, especially in elections. Candidates say that “it is not possible” that they are not elected and use the possible arguments to justify the hypothesis as certainty. I remember that many said that “it is not possible” for Dilma to be the candidate for the succession of Lula in 2010. His history of political disability did not recommend such a choice.
During the campaign, a friend and political observer told me that “it is not possible” for Dilma to beat José Serra, an experienced man, prepared and with a long record of service for the country. I replied that it was not a best CV contest. It was simply the fact that Dilma’s electoral corporal was, at that moment, unbeatable.
Later, in 2018, many said “it is not possible” that Jair Bolsonaro, no party, no TV time, no money and no political base, win the election. Many pointed to his contradictions, his irrelevant past in politics and his inexperience in the great debates as reasons for the impossibility of his victory.
Every rule has an exception. Sometimes the “not possible” ends up not being possible at all. Now, there is a feeling that a union between centrist parties around one name should not be possible. Between scenographic candidacies, hidden goals and meager performances, these acronyms tend to try to consolidate their domains to expand their benches. But does something suddenly happen?
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“A few months ago, many took for granted the election of Lula and the defeat of Bolsonaro”
This year, the impossibility thesis hit Bolsonaro once again. A few months ago, many took for granted the election of Lula and the defeat of Bolsonaro, who would succumb to the weight of his own rejection. The thesis of “it is not possible” mixed desire, analysis and use of the thesis of “self-fulfilling prophecy”. In the financial market, some believe that, with so much talk that a certain stock will rise or fall, the prophecy is fulfilled, even without a reason to justify the movement. Thus, claiming that Bolsonaro would not be able to resist the weight of the pandemic, they threw the luck of their hunch on the prophecy’s account. Will you glue?
But the reality is different. And the future, unpredictable. What we see is Bolsonaro rising in the polls and Lula leading, but apparently at the ceiling of voting intentions in the first round. Bolsonaro’s rise was helped by Sergio Moro’s withdrawal, the confusions of the third way and Lula’s stumbles.
Almost no one, however, observes that the PL-PP-Republicans alliance creates solid platforms in the states and that the “it is not possible” is being contradicted. Many considered João Doria, governor of the all-powerful state of São Paulo, a presidential super-candidate. So far, he hasn’t revealed himself as such.
The fact is that in a country where the past is unpredictable, impossibility verdicts are highly questionable. After all, in politics, anything is possible. Even happen what many expect.
Published in VEJA of May 11, 2022, issue nº 2788
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