President Jair Bolsonaro (PL) won a technical tie with former president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT) in the poll of spontaneous voting intentions (when the names of candidates are not presented), according to a survey carried out by the Paraná Pesquisas institute between April 28th and May 3rd and released this Wednesday, 4th.
He nailed 25.2% of the voting intentions against 27.6% for the PT, which is a tie within the margin of error of 2.2 percentage points more or less.
The result is a wake-up call for Lula’s campaign, as Bolsonaro has been able in recent months to get closer to the PT candidate in the presidential race.
In addition, according to the same survey, Bolsonaro managed to drive the shortest distance to the former president – 4.8 percentage points – in the dispute for the Palácio do Planalto.
According to the survey, Lula has 40.0% of voting intentions against 35.2% for Bolsonaro – in relation to the previous poll, carried out at the end of March, the PT maintained the same percentage, while the president rose 2.5% percentage points (had 32.7%).
Bolsonaro also scored his best mark in the Paraná Pesquisas series that started in November last year, when he had 29.2%.
In the stimulated poll, after Lula and Bolsonaro, appear Ciro Gomes, from the PDT, with 7.4% (he had 5.4% in March); João Doria, from the PSDB, with 3.2% (was 2.3); André Janones, from Avante, with 2.4% (had 1.1%); Simone Tebet, from MDB, with 0.7% (had 0.2%); Luciano Bivar, from União Brasil, with 0.2% (it was the first survey in which he was included); and Luiz Felipe d’Ávila (Novo), with 0.1% (same percentage as in March).
It was the first poll carried out by the institute without former judge Sergio Moro, who in March had 7.1%. Among those interviewed, 7.2% said they would vote blank, none or nullify the vote and 3.5% said they did not know or did not respond.
The survey was carried out with 2,020 voters, through personal face-to-face interviews, in 166 municipalities in all states registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under number BR 09280/2022.
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