The former federal deputy Ronaldo Dimas (PL) and the current governor, Wanderlei Barbosa (Republicans), lead the race for government Tocantinsaccording to a survey carried out between April 29 and 30 by the Real Time Big Data Institute and released this Monday, 2.
Dimas, whose last public office was that of mayor of Araguaína, the second largest city in the state, until 2020, appears numerically ahead of Barbosa, but always within the margin of error of more or less three percentage points.
In the first scenario, Dimas has 28% against 23% for Barbosa. In the sequence, appear the former federal deputy Paulo Mourao (PT), with 8%; the former mayor of Gurupi (TO) Laurez Moreira (PDT), with 7%; and the federal deputy Osires Damaso (PSC), with 4%. Among those interviewed, 15% said they would vote blank or annul the vote and another 15% said they do not know who they will vote for or did not respond.
In a second scenario, with only three candidates, Dimas has 30% and Barbosa, 24% – they are tied, therefore, at the limit of the margin of error. Mourão appears with 10%. Among those interviewed in this simulation, 20% said they would vote blank or nullify the vote and 16% did not know or did not want to answer.
In an eventual second round, the two remain tied at the limit of the margin of error: Dimas has 35% against 29% for Barbosa. Another 20% responded that they will vote blank or cancel the vote and 16% did not know or did not respond.
In the Senate race, the current holder of the only vacancy in dispute, Senator Katia Abreu (PP), faces difficulties in his re-election bid. In the main scenario, who leads is the professor and federal deputy Dorinha Rezende (Union Brazil)com 26%.
Next, are technically tied Kátia Abreu, with 15%, and the football coach Vanderlei Luxemburgo (PSB)with 13% — Luxembourg also has a technical tie, at the limit of the margin of error, with the former governor Marcelo Miranda (MDB), which has 7%.
Also appearing in the race are former senator Ataides Oliveira (Pros), with 6%; and the former governor Mauro Carlesse (Union Brazil), with 2%. Among those interviewed by the institute, 20% said they would vote blank or annul the vote, and 11% did not know or did not respond.
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