Leader in voting intentions, Lula (PT) has minimized in conversations with allies the growth of Jair Bolsonaro (PL) in the polls. According to the former president, the rival regained ground thanks to the departure of Sergio Moro (União Brasil) from the race, who gave back to Bolsonaro a slice of the electorate that, sooner or later, in the first or second round, would already migrate to the president. . Among PT members, the ex-judge and ex-captain are treated as one thing or parts of the same project, since Moro would have helped elect Bolsonaro and later took over as Minister of Justice in his government.
Pressured by party colleagues and friends to put the campaign on the streets once and for all, Lula has argued that he still has a good lead in the lead. According to a Datafolha poll released on March 24, PT registered 43% in first-round simulations, against 26% for Bolsonaro. In the XP/Ipespe survey released on April 22, the two appear with, respectively, 45% and 31%. There are polls, however, that show a much smaller difference – in the case of PoderData released this Friday 29, of only five percentage points.
Lula claims that his situation remains stable. Bolsonaro even regains points, but he does not lose support. Even so, the former president does not intend to change his electoral strategy. Lula’s priority is to insist on the economic debate. Talking about inflation, income and employment, indicators that, according to him, will undermine the opponent’s electoral pretensions. In the last twelve months, inflation exceeded 12%. Unemployment remained stable in the first quarter of 2022, at 11.1%, while the average worker’s income rose slightly, 1.5%, compared to the last quarter of last year.
The former president, of course, will address the issues as he sees fit for him. He will point out, for example, that today there are more than 11 million unemployed and that the average worker’s income has fallen by 8.7% in one year. He will also try to revive in the memory of the electorate the achievements of his last year in office, when the economy grew 7.5%. Regarding the recession bequeathed by Dilma Rousseff, the plan is to avoid the subject.
In order to stay in a comfort zone, Lula does not intend to deal with the customs agenda or enter into controversies fabricated by his opponent, such as the debate on the pardon of deputy Daniel Silveira. His priority is to promise, in short, more food on the Brazilian table.
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